Trend and risk-forecast framework for the impact of environmental toxicology exposure on infectious disease incidence, prevalence, and parasite breeding in Nigeria: implications for Medical laboratory science and disease surveillance

Authors

  • Ekoh A. J. Department of Medical Laboratory Science, University of Nigeria, Enugu Campus
  • Achukwu P. U. Department of Medical laboratory science, College of Medicine, University of Nigeria, Enugu Campus
  • Odo, O. F. Department of Medical laboratory science, College of Medicine, ESUT Teaching Hospital, Parklane, Enugu

Abstract

This study investigates the influence of environmental toxicant exposure—particularly heavy metals—on the incidence and prevalence of infectious diseases and parasite breeding in Nigeria. Utilizing statistical models such as Generalized Linear Models (GLM), ARIMA, and Random Forest, the study develops a risk-forecast framework to inform medical laboratory science practices and disease surveillance strategies. Findings underscore the critical role of environmental toxicology in public health, highlighting the necessity for integrated diagnostic approaches and proactive surveillance systems.

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Published

2025-07-26